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Red67
555423.0
822318.9
674020.5
Blue108
157758.8
383523.0
563513.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509502040608012014016067108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#24
23.00.4
17.217.6
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End8.0
blue by 35.9
58.81.6
48.149.7
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
Second
6740
#25
20.50.4
21.221.6
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.3
blue by 2.5
3835
#11
23.01.6
19.521.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Third
8223
#30
18.90.4
14.414.8
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.7
red by 5.1
5635
#38
13.81.6
16.117.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned