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Red107
157725.1
169049.9
67419.3
Blue53
157423.1
209618.4
193710.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94492040608012014016010753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.5
49.349.9
Auto12.4
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 26.8
23.10.1
23.223.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
25.10.5
24.625.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 6.7
18.40.1
18.518.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
Third
6741
#24
9.30.6
8.79.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 0.8
1937
#22
10.10.1
10.210.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9