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Red104
157423.1
209618.4
193710.1
Blue14
674012.2
308315.5
67388.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5538020608010010414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.6
22.322.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
red by 7.6
15.50.5
16.015.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.7
Second
18.40.6
17.618.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
red by 6.2
6740
#12
12.20.5
12.812.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Third
1937
#22
10.10.6
9.39.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9
red by 2.0
6738
#20
8.10.6
8.78.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.1