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Red60
331624.7
306519.9
223116.8
Blue69
561411.7
157423.1
82239.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41413545505560656069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.9
15.417.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.4
red by 1.6
23.12.1
17.119.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
19.91.9
11.012.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End5.8
red by 8.2
5614
#13
11.72.1
14.917.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Third
2231
#21
16.81.9
12.214.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End5.5
red by 7.8
8223
#14
9.02.1
6.28.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed