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Red60
169049.9
610415.6
193710.1
Blue4
43191.3
157725.1
88437.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67410206080100120604

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.0
37.137.1
Auto12.4
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 24.7
25.14.2
30.326.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Second
6104
#16
15.60.0
12.812.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End0.4
red by 8.5
8843
#27
7.04.2
5.31.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Third
1937
#22
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9
red by 8.8
4319
#28
1.34.2
6.62.4
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed