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Red38
555412.7
15763.9
209618.4
Blue63
459018.4
157423.1
529110.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30490204060801003863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.8
15.816.6
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
blue by 4.7
23.11.3
20.621.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
5554
#10
12.70.8
11.512.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
blue by 5.6
4590
#17
18.41.3
13.815.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End6.6
Third
1576
#25
3.90.8
3.34.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.0
End1.7
blue by 6.1
5291
#18
10.01.3
9.210.5
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed