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Red60
331624.7
706714.3
674012.2
Blue50
223116.8
193710.1
157423.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434501001502006050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.1
20.121.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.4
red by 1.6
23.10.4
19.018.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
7067
#11
14.31.1
13.114.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End4.6
blue by 2.5
2231
#21
16.80.5
15.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End5.5
Third
6740
#12
12.21.1
7.89.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
red by 2.1
1937
#22
10.10.5
7.67.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed