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Red92
157725.1
169049.9
610415.6
Blue79
565423.0
331624.7
529110.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100552040801201401601809279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.1
48.748.7
Auto12.4
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 25.2
24.70.0
24.424.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.4
Second
25.10.1
23.924.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 2.1
23.00.0
22.822.9
Auto6.1
Teleop11.1
End5.9
Third
6104
#16
15.60.1
15.615.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End0.4
red by 5.6
5291
#18
10.00.0
9.79.8
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End0.8