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Red85
157725.1
169049.9
610415.6
Blue73
565423.0
331624.7
529110.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100552040801201401601808573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.1
48.748.7
Auto12.4
Teleop29.3
End8.2
red by 25.2
24.70.2
24.524.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.4
Second
25.10.1
24.024.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 2.1
23.00.2
22.923.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.1
End5.9
Third
6104
#16
15.60.1
15.715.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End0.4
red by 5.6
5291
#18
10.00.2
9.810.0
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End0.8