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Red71
307527.0
784522.5
441611.2
Blue54
383513.7
529113.7
59908.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68320204060801007154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.1
26.426.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End9.1
red by 13.2
5291
#11
13.70.3
13.413.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Second
22.50.1
21.922.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End10.7
red by 8.8
3835
#12
13.70.3
13.413.7
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Third
4416
#17
11.20.1
10.610.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End3.9
red by 2.8
5990
#22
8.40.3
8.08.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End0.2