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Red31
263020.8
165715.8
71778.9
Blue64
703919.8
817513.3
571513.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504930406070803164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#13
20.80.4
21.421.0
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
7039
#10
19.80.3
19.820.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Second
15.80.4
16.416.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End9.9
red by 2.3
5715
#19
13.40.3
13.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
7177
#25
8.90.4
9.59.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.7
blue by 4.4
13.30.3
13.313.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.8