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Red42
263020.8
165715.8
71778.9
Blue53
703919.8
817513.3
571513.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4949304060704253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#13
20.80.2
21.020.8
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
7039
#10
19.80.1
19.920.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Second
15.80.2
16.015.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End9.9
red by 2.3
5715
#19
13.40.1
13.513.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
7177
#25
8.90.2
9.08.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.7
blue by 4.4
13.30.1
13.313.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.8