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Red25
571513.4
263020.8
513513.8
Blue54
59286.6
817513.3
784522.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323702060801002554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#13
20.80.7
15.715.0
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 1.7
22.51.8
11.112.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End10.7
Second
5135
#16
13.80.7
7.77.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 0.5
13.31.8
11.213.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Third
5715
#19
13.40.7
7.66.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
red by 6.8
5928
#27DQ
6.61.8
11.513.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned