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Red27
458616.1
529113.7
71778.9
Blue36
383513.7
616810.4
571513.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432152025304045502736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.4
13.613.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End7.5
red by 2.4
3835
#12
13.70.6
10.110.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Second
5291
#11
13.70.3
11.911.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
red by 0.3
5715
#19
13.40.6
11.311.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
7177
#25
8.90.4
5.85.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.7
blue by 1.6
6168
#15
10.40.6
8.99.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed