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Red31
513513.8
15808.1
432010.3
Blue63
784522.5
165715.8
616810.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29510204060803163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#16
13.80.1
11.111.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.0
blue by 8.7
22.51.6
20.822.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End10.7
Second
4320
#14
10.30.1
11.711.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End4.4
blue by 5.5
15.81.6
15.016.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End9.9
Third
1580
#20
8.10.1
7.57.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
blue by 2.3
6168
#15
10.41.6
9.511.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned