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Red77
307527.0
529113.7
383513.7
Blue58
59908.4
263020.8
703919.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49442060801007758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.02.1
23.525.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End9.1
red by 6.2
2630
#13
20.80.7
21.622.4
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
5291
#11
13.71.6
11.613.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 6.1
7039
#10
19.80.7
16.617.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Third
3835
#12
13.72.1
10.612.7
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
red by 5.3
5990
#22
8.40.7
3.64.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed