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Red88
333932.6
598724.2
15808.1
Blue65
513513.8
458616.1
62307.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions743202040601001201408865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.4
32.432.8
Auto10.5
Teleop15.7
End6.5
red by 16.5
16.10.5
15.616.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End7.5
Second
24.20.4
23.924.4
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End8.2
red by 10.3
5135
#16
13.80.5
13.413.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Third
1580
#20
8.10.4
7.98.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
red by 1.1
6230
#24
7.00.5
6.57.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6