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Red99
561424.0
307533.7
223122.1
Blue65
703922.4
209621.4
194211.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665602040801001201409965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.72.3
28.430.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
red by 11.2
7039
#11
22.40.5
20.621.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.1
Second
24.02.3
15.117.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.1
End5.3
red by 2.6
2096
#15
21.40.5
20.220.7
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
Third
2231
#14
22.12.3
16.919.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 10.8
1942
#26
11.30.8
13.213.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned