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Red105
333929.4
784530.2
674020.8
Blue57
308313.4
331625.5
157746.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76766070809010010557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.7
24.125.8
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
blue by 15.9
46.11.2
30.228.9
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End7.9
Second
29.41.7
33.635.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End6.8
red by 3.9
3316
#18
25.51.2
25.023.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End4.4
Third
6740
#20
20.81.7
13.815.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.7
red by 7.4
3083
#25
13.41.2
16.415.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsMissed