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Red160
221210.9
169070.1
307533.7
Blue61
561424.0
157429.6
71777.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10348015016061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.14.4
48.552.9
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
red by 40.6
1574
#16
29.60.1
27.427.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.9
End8.5
Second
33.74.4
30.735.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
red by 9.7
24.00.1
17.417.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.1
End5.3
Third
2212
#19
10.94.4
10.715.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
red by 3.4
7177
#24
7.50.1
7.07.1
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned