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Red124
306519.8
169070.1
209621.4
Blue67
263028.0
513519.2
674020.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11058015020012467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.11.6
56.157.7
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
red by 42.1
28.00.4
24.024.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.2
End4.4
Second
2096
#15
21.41.6
20.722.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
red by 0.6
6740
#20
20.80.4
17.117.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.7
Third
3065
#17
19.81.6
19.621.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End7.7
red by 0.6
5135
#12
19.20.4
19.720.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed