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Red84
784530.2
703922.4
307533.7
Blue59
308313.4
193714.2
306519.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1064101502008459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.5
37.937.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
red by 13.9
3065
#17
19.80.5
21.121.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End7.7
Second
30.20.5
29.428.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
red by 15.9
1937
#21
14.20.5
12.513.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
7039
#11
22.40.5
23.823.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.1
red by 9.0
3083
#25
13.40.5
13.213.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsEarned