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Red33
306519.8
610417.0
71777.5
Blue54
307533.7
333929.4
43196.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4683020601001201401603354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#17
19.81.0
20.919.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End7.7
blue by 13.9
33.71.8
35.033.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
Second
6104
#13
17.01.0
19.618.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End4.4
blue by 12.4
29.41.8
33.932.1
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End6.8
Third
7177
#24
7.51.0
7.86.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End3.4
red by 1.3
4319
#23
6.11.8
4.32.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed63%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned