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Red103
169070.1
67417.9
43196.1
Blue87
674020.8
458624.1
703922.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88715010015010387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.5
66.166.6
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
red by 46.1
24.10.7
24.925.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End10.6
Second
6741
#22
7.90.5
9.810.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 14.5
7039
#11
22.40.7
23.824.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.1
Third
4319
#23
6.10.5
4.14.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End1.1
blue by 14.7
6740
#20
20.80.7
20.220.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned