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Red79
306519.8
674020.8
157429.6
Blue95
561424.0
565426.2
784530.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758240601001207995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#16
29.60.0
29.829.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.9
End8.5
blue by 0.6
30.21.3
28.730.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Second
6740
#20
20.80.0
20.920.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.7
blue by 5.4
26.21.3
24.425.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End6.9
Third
3065
#17
19.80.0
20.720.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End7.7
blue by 4.2
24.01.3
23.024.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned