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Red32
307533.7
333929.4
67417.9
Blue42
263028.0
784530.2
308313.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78760501001502002503003504003242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.9
34.233.3
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
red by 3.5
30.20.7
29.929.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Second
29.40.9
29.929.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End6.8
red by 1.4
28.00.7
27.727.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.2
End4.4
Third
6741
#22
7.90.9
8.47.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 5.5
3083
#25
13.40.7
13.913.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3