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Red34
321116.4
563516.4
44169.8
Blue57
555416.2
474416.3
571514.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455310203040607080903457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.2
16.616.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End7.4
red by 0.1
4744
#12
16.30.2
16.817.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End6.5
Second
16.40.2
16.616.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
red by 0.2
5554
#14
16.20.2
16.716.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End5.6
Third
4416
#25
9.80.2
10.09.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 5.1
5715
#22
14.90.2
15.415.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End4.6