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Red48
595118.7
44169.8
555416.2
Blue59
43209.6
321116.4
598721.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405620804859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.3
15.415.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End4.7
blue by 3.1
5987
#10
21.80.3
25.926.3
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End9.1
Second
5554
#14
16.20.3
14.715.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End5.6
blue by 0.2
16.40.3
15.215.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
Third
4416
#25
9.80.3
9.69.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
red by 0.2
4320
#21
9.60.3
9.39.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned