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Red50
194214.1
817512.1
599013.3
Blue47
555416.2
571514.9
822312.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101020506070805047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#16
14.11.2
10.211.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
blue by 2.1
5554
#14
16.20.6
15.015.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End5.6
Second
5990
#11
13.31.2
9.010.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End6.3
blue by 1.6
5715
#22
14.90.6
12.713.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End4.6
Third
8175
#17
12.11.2
13.014.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 0.3
8223
#15
12.40.6
9.910.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned