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Red54
459022.7
563516.4
43209.6
Blue48
822312.4
598721.8
88435.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4345203040506070805448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.9
20.321.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.6
red by 0.9
5987
#10
21.80.4
24.625.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End9.1
Second
16.40.9
11.212.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End7.4
red by 3.9
8223
#15
12.40.4
10.511.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.4
Third
4320
#21
9.60.9
9.09.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End4.1
red by 4.4
8843
#28
5.20.4
6.67.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned