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Red55
165718.9
321116.4
194214.1
Blue44
383518.3
44169.8
459022.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4846204060805544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.4
15.616.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End9.8
blue by 3.7
22.70.2
21.221.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.6
Second
16.40.4
17.918.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
blue by 1.9
3835
#19
18.30.2
12.612.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Third
1942
#16
14.10.4
11.411.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
red by 4.2
4416
#25
9.80.2
9.49.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed