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Red44
321116.4
433817.2
194313.3
Blue60
474416.3
817512.1
459022.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52540204060801001204460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.6
20.219.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End6.2
blue by 5.5
22.70.6
21.021.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.6
Second
16.40.6
18.317.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
red by 0.1
4744
#12
16.30.6
15.315.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End6.5
Third
1943
#24
13.30.6
10.29.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End5.3
red by 1.2
8175
#17
12.10.6
14.014.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned