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Red40
223014.6
43209.6
15809.7
Blue37
46616.6
194214.1
571514.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372702060804037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.2
12.913.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
blue by 0.3
5715
#22
14.90.7
13.213.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End4.6
Second
1580
#23
9.70.2
10.510.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 4.4
1942
#16
14.10.7
11.812.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Third
4320
#21
9.60.2
9.910.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End4.1
red by 3.0
4661
#27
6.60.7
1.32.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed