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Red27
88435.2
44169.8
321116.4
Blue56
194313.3
165718.9
555416.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354510203040506070802756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.5
17.717.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
blue by 2.6
18.90.8
16.016.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Second
4416
#25
9.80.5
9.28.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 6.4
5554
#14
16.20.8
15.115.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End5.6
Third
8843
#28
5.20.5
7.06.6
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 8.1
1943
#24
13.30.8
9.710.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned