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Red45
563516.4
194214.1
555416.2
Blue60
46616.6
822312.4
338819.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330204060804560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.2
12.913.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End7.4
blue by 2.9
19.31.3
18.920.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Second
5554
#14
16.20.2
15.816.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End5.6
red by 3.7
8223
#15
12.41.3
11.412.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.4
Third
1942
#16
14.10.2
12.512.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
red by 7.5
4661
#27
6.61.3
2.03.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed