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Red29
88435.2
223014.6
338819.3
Blue59
706723.8
194214.1
46616.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414420305060702959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.9
19.718.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End3.6
blue by 4.4
23.81.2
23.324.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End10.3
Second
14.60.9
13.612.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 0.6
1942
#16
14.11.2
11.813.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Third
8843
#28
5.20.9
5.54.6
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 1.4
4661
#27
6.61.2
5.76.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed