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Red52
598727.1
817512.4
474422.6
Blue112
306525.6
333945.3
561423.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110805015052112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
Unranked
27.10.8
27.727.0
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End9.5
blue by 18.2
3339
Unranked
45.30.8
43.043.9
Auto12.2
Teleop25.4
End7.7
Second
4744
Unranked
22.60.8
20.019.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.6
blue by 3.0
3065
Unranked
25.60.8
23.924.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End8.2
Third
8175
Unranked
12.40.8
15.614.8
Auto6.4
Teleop1.2
End4.8
blue by 11.3
5614
Unranked
23.70.8
28.329.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned