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Red86
571530.3
703922.0
209617.1
Blue19
223010.0
561423.7
599014.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7855020401001201401608619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
Unranked
30.30.8
27.027.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End9.6
red by 6.6
5614
Unranked
23.72.3
29.226.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.0
End3.3
Second
7039
Unranked
22.00.8
23.924.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End4.0
red by 7.1
5990
Unranked
14.92.3
12.910.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Third
2096
Unranked
17.10.8
19.220.0
Auto8.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
red by 7.1
2230
Unranked
10.02.3
12.09.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed