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Red87
169063.7
209617.1
383518.0
Blue95
157757.1
595120.3
474422.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101030501502008795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
63.71.0
61.660.6
Auto19.0
Teleop38.9
End5.8
red by 6.6
1577
Unranked
57.10.4
56.956.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End10.4
Second
3835
Unranked
18.01.0
20.719.7
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End2.7
blue by 4.6
4744
Unranked
22.60.4
21.621.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.6
Third
2096
Unranked
17.11.0
20.019.0
Auto8.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
blue by 3.2
5951
Unranked
20.30.4
19.018.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned