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Red111
157444.9
209617.1
223132.4
Blue73
306525.6
571530.3
817512.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096005010015011173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
44.90.7
43.944.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End11.5
red by 14.6
5715
Unranked
30.30.7
26.727.4
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End9.6
Second
2231
Unranked
32.40.7
33.233.9
Auto10.1
Teleop18.9
End3.4
red by 6.8
3065
Unranked
25.60.7
23.524.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End8.2
Third
2096
Unranked
17.10.7
19.019.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
red by 4.7
8175
Unranked
12.40.7
12.613.3
Auto6.4
Teleop1.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned