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Red71
513516.2
209617.1
306525.6
Blue119
157757.1
458622.4
599014.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910005015071119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
Unranked
25.60.4
24.124.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End8.2
blue by 31.5
1577
Unranked
57.12.0
56.558.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End10.4
Second
2096
Unranked
17.10.4
19.720.1
Auto8.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
blue by 5.2
4586
Unranked
22.42.0
20.422.5
Auto8.1
Teleop4.3
End9.9
Third
5135
Unranked
16.20.4
17.017.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End5.5
red by 1.3
5990
Unranked
14.92.0
11.613.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned