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Red177
169063.7
306525.6
157757.1
Blue59
157444.9
706724.0
616814.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166825010015020025017759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
63.70.8
62.363.1
Auto19.0
Teleop38.9
End5.8
red by 18.8
1574
Unranked
44.91.9
46.644.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End11.5
Second
1577
Unranked
57.10.8
57.658.4
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End10.4
red by 33.1
7067
Unranked
24.01.9
24.823.0
Auto8.5
Teleop6.5
End9.1
Third
3065
Unranked
25.60.8
25.025.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End8.2
red by 11.3
6168
Unranked
14.31.9
15.914.0
Auto6.0
Teleop2.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned