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Red37
223010.0
817512.4
458622.4
Blue47
331624.6
194311.7
321118.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476502040801001201403747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
Unranked
22.40.6
22.521.9
Auto8.1
Teleop4.3
End9.9
blue by 2.2
3316
Unranked
24.61.0
25.224.1
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End4.6
Second
8175
Unranked
12.40.6
13.312.7
Auto6.4
Teleop1.2
End4.8
blue by 6.3
3211
Unranked
18.81.0
22.621.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End5.5
Third
2230
Unranked
10.00.6
10.39.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 1.7
1943
Unranked
11.71.0
10.99.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned