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Red111
169063.7
817512.4
784534.6
Blue75
703922.0
223132.4
598727.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121885010015020011175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
63.70.2
63.863.6
Auto19.0
Teleop38.9
End5.8
red by 31.3
2231
Unranked
32.40.8
35.334.5
Auto10.1
Teleop18.9
End3.4
Second
7845
Unranked
34.60.2
33.032.9
Auto10.9
Teleop13.1
End10.6
red by 7.4
5987
Unranked
27.10.8
29.628.8
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End9.5
Third
8175
Unranked
12.40.2
12.712.6
Auto6.4
Teleop1.2
End4.8
blue by 9.6
7039
Unranked
22.00.8
21.921.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsEarned