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Red110
331624.6
169063.7
595120.3
Blue103
263034.8
194311.7
306525.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12364050100150200110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
63.70.1
63.663.7
Auto19.0
Teleop38.9
End5.8
red by 28.9
2630
Unranked
34.81.6
33.234.8
Auto11.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
Second
3316
Unranked
24.60.1
24.424.6
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End4.6
blue by 1.1
3065
Unranked
25.61.6
24.025.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End8.2
Third
5951
Unranked
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto8.9
Teleop6.9
End4.5
red by 8.7
1943
Unranked
11.71.6
10.111.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned