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Red89
703922.0
263034.8
157444.9
Blue61
513516.2
458622.4
598727.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12373501001508961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
44.91.3
44.743.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End11.5
red by 17.7
5987
Unranked
27.10.9
28.127.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End9.5
Second
2630
Unranked
34.81.3
35.233.9
Auto11.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
red by 12.4
4586
Unranked
22.40.9
25.524.6
Auto8.1
Teleop4.3
End9.9
Third
7039
Unranked
22.01.3
29.127.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End4.0
red by 5.7
5135
Unranked
16.20.9
20.819.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned