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Red90
198738.1
170632.9
50989.7
Blue85
452236.0
173030.9
256011.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84826570758090951009085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.2
37.437.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.9
red by 2.1
36.00.1
35.735.6
Auto8.8
Teleop13.4
End13.8
Second
32.90.2
32.232.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.2
End3.9
red by 2.0
30.90.1
30.630.5
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End5.4
Third
5098
#25
9.70.2
9.09.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 1.6
2560
#20
11.40.1
11.111.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3