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Qual 12022 Heartland Regional
Red33
176426.5
526812.2
59187.0
Blue50
176314.4
241014.6
182710.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30310102040506070803350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#8
26.50.6
9.8→10.4
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
red by 11.9
2410
#19
14.61.4
11.6→13.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
Second
5268
#13
12.20.6
8.9→9.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End5.4
blue by 2.2
1763
#15
14.41.4
9.1→10.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End9.7
Third
5918
#22
7.00.6
9.3→9.8
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End3.3
blue by 3.5
1827
#12
10.51.4
8.6→10.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned