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Red32
241014.6
24573.4
511921.1
Blue110
501329.9
882521.8
198738.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395320608010032110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.7
17.917.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End5.0
blue by 17.0
38.16.9
21.628.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.9
Second
2410
#19
14.60.7
11.711.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
blue by 15.3
29.96.9
16.823.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
Third
2457
#26
3.40.7
8.47.7
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End1.6
blue by 18.4
21.86.9
9.116.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned