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Red58
176426.5
432917.5
50989.7
Blue73
59187.0
318430.4
170632.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3658020801005873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.4
17.119.5
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
blue by 6.5
32.92.4
22.124.5
Auto10.8
Teleop18.2
End3.9
Second
4329
#11
17.52.4
12.214.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 12.9
30.42.4
20.422.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End11.0
Third
5098
#25
9.72.4
6.99.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
red by 2.7
5918
#22
7.02.4
8.811.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned